Tuesday, 28 February 2012

RIL, bank stocks lead initial gains


Date: 28.02.2012

At 09:55 IST, the BSE Sensex was up 108.27 points or 0.62% to 17,554.02. The index rose 190.99 points at the day's high of 17,636.74 in early trade. The index gained 84.69 points at the day's low of 17,530.44 in early trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty was up 34.65 points or 0.66% to 5,315.85. The index hit a high of 5,336.70 and a low of 5,306.45 in intraday trade. 

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was strong. On BSE, 830 shares rose and 309 shares fell. A total of 27 shares were unchanged
Among the 30-share Sensex pack, 25 gained while rest of them fell. TCS, Maruti Suzuki India and Jindal Steel & Power fell by between 0.52% to 0.94%. Bhel, Tata Steel and Tata Motors rose by between 1.3% to 1.9%.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 0.99% on bargain hunting after Monday's near 5% slide. BP PLC and Reliance Industries (RIL) will reportedly submit a joint plan to the government to develop the D6 natural gas block and its satellite fields as an integrated unit. The proposal, which will be submitted in the next few weeks, will seek to maximise the use of existing infrastructure to develop all the fields which haven't been worked on yet, BP India chief Sashi Mukundan told reporters on Monday, 27 February 2012. The proposal is significant in that it will seek approval to develop an entire block as one unit, rather than follow the current practise of getting clearance for one oil or natural gas field at a time.

In 2011, BP purchased a 30% stake in 21 RIL's oil and gas blocks across India, including D6, which is India's biggest gas discovery so far. RIL is facing declining output at D6 due to reservoir complexity, a natural decline in reserves and delays in developing satellite fields. Output at the D1, D3 and MA fields in the D6 block has plunged to about 38 million metric standard cubic meters a day (MMSCMD) from 60 MMSCMD in June 2010. It is estimated that output will fall further to 27.60 MMSCMD in the next financial year starting April, and to 22.60 MMSCMD in the year after that.
RIL at the fag end of the trading session on Friday, 24 February 2012, announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Reliance Holding USA, Inc. priced a $500 million reopening of its existing 5.4% Guaranteed Senior Notes due 2022. The additional notes will be consolidated and will form a single series with the $1,000 million 5.4% Guaranteed Senior Notes due 2022 and will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by RIL. Reliance Holding USA, Inc. will apply the net proceeds to fund its ongoing capital expenditure, to make business investments, to refinance its existing debt and for general corporate purposes. 

Bank stocks edged higher on renewed buying. India's biggest private sector bank in terms of branch network, ICICI Bank, rose 1.65% after the stock slumped almost 5% on Monday.
State Bank of India rose 1.04% after declining 3.70% on Monday. The bank on Monday, 27 February 2012, cut interest rates on education loans. Loans of up to R 4 lakh will now be charged an interest rate of 13.50%, down from 13.75% earlier, while those between R 4 lakh and R 7.5 lakh will be charged 13.25%, instead of 14.25% earlier. Loans above R 7.5 lakh will be given at an interest rate of 12.00%, a quarter percentage point less than earlier.
Meanwhile, the bank's managing director, Krishna Kumar, told the media on Monday, 27 February 2012, that the bank is not considering giving any fresh loans to loss-making Kingfisher Airlines. He said any decision to give fresh loans to Kingfisher depends on discussions within a consortium of banks.
India's second largest bank by net profit HDFC Bank rose 0.33% to R 515. The stock had hit a record high of R 538.85 in intraday trade on 22 February 2012.
Bank of Baroda rose 1.24% after the board of directors of the bank approved issuing up to 5% of pre-issue paid up capital of the bank to Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC)/mutual funds on preferential basis. The bank announced this after during trading hours on Monday.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net R 329.09 crore on Monday, 27 February 2012, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. FIIs have bought shares worth a net R 23767.99 crore in this month so far (27 February 2012), as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. The inflow this month comes on the top of heavy purchases last month. FIIs bought shares worth a net R 10357.70 crore in January 2012, as per data from Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi).
The initial public offer (IPO) of commodity exchange Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) was subscribed a massive 54.13 times. The IPO closed on Friday, 24 February 2012. MCX has priced its IPO at the upper end of the R 860-1,032 a share price band, raising about R 663 crore through the issue.
The government will announce Q3 December 2011 gross domestic product (GDP) data tomorrow, 29 February 2012. The GDP growth stood at 6.9% in Q2 September 2011, the slowest in over two years.
The government is working with state governments for early implementation of a goods and services tax (GST), Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on 22 February 2012.
Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will present the annual budget for 2012/13 on 16 March 2012, while the railways budget will be presented on 14 March 2012. The budget session of parliament will start on 12 March 2012. The government will present on March 15 the Economic Survey for 2011/12, a document on the state of economy prepared by the economic division in the ministry of finance. The annual budget is usually presented on the last working day of February. However, the budget has been delayed this time due to the ongoing assembly polls. Polling for assembly elections in five states concludes in early March 2012. The counting of the votes takes place on 6 March 2012, with the results due on the same day.
Reports indicate that the finance ministry is considering a proposal to increase excise duty from 10% to 12%, although still lower than the level before the 2008 financial crisis. The move is aimed at helping the government improve its fiscal situation but it is expected to push up the cost of almost all manufactured goods from food products to consumer durables and automobiles.
Most Asian stock markets edged higher on Tuesday on positive economic data in the US. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Indonesia, Singapore, and South Korea rose by between 0.09% to 0.38%. China's Shanghai Composite fell 0.39%.
Japan's Nikkei Average fell 0.76%. Japanese retail sales rose 1.9% in January 2012 from a year earlier compared to December's gain of 2.5%, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said Tuesday.
German lawmakers approved Monday a politically unpopular second bailout for Greece. The vote on Germany's contribution to the €130 billion rescue package passed with a large majority, despite opposition from within German Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democratic Union.
Meanwhile, credit rating agency Standard & Poor's on Monday cut Greece's long-term ratings to 'selective default', the second ratings agency to proceed with a widely expected downgrade after the country announced a bond swap plan to lighten its debt burden.
Trading in US index futures indicated a flat opening of US stocks on Tuesday, 28 February 2012. US stocks ended mostly higher on Monday, as data showed further improvement in the US housing market. An industry group reported that contracts for home resales hit a near two-year high in January.

GLOBAL SOYBEAN OUTPUT TO HIT 3-YEAR LOW

GLOBAL SOYBEAN OUTPUT TO HIT 3-YEAR LOW  
Date : 28.02.2012

             Global Soybean Output To Hit 3-Year Low. The International Grains Council has lowered its forecast for global soybean output in 2012-13 by almost 4%, as dry weather has affected yield potential in many areas of South America. Production is forecast at a three-year low of 246.5 million tons, down 7.6% from 2011-12 because of lower output in all major producing regions. The IGC tabulates its data over an aggregate marketing year covering all major producing and trading countries. www.goldennifty.com

                Adversely dry conditions during the growing season have negatively affected yields in many areas, particularly northern Argentina, southern Brazil and Paraguay, it said in a recent report. In southern Brazil states including Parana and Rio Grande do Sul, low soil moisture has significantly hampered crop development. Brazil's soybean output may fall 8% to 69.4 million tons from the record reached in 2011-12; down 3.3% from the IGC's earlier forecast. The IGC lowered its forecast for Argentina's soybean output in 2012-13 by almost 10% to 46 million tons, down 6% from last year's actual production. Prolonged dryness has resulted in irreversible yield reduction in some areas of Argentina, it said.
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            Paraguay's production may fall by 40% to just 5 million tons, it said. Meanwhile, demand is strong. Although the IGC lowered its forecast for China's soybean imports by 1 million tons, at 56 million tons, it would be a record, up 7% from last year.

           The pace of South America's soybean exports from last year's harvest has been exceptionally strong, and shipments from Brazil and Argentina were almost three times higher during October-December than year earlier. However, shipments from South America will likely slow in the next few months due to reduced output. The IGC lowered its forecasts for Brazil and Argentina's soybean exports in 2012-13 by 2.2% and 17%, respectively, while raising it forecast for U.S. soybean exports by almost 3% due to a shift in demand from South America. The global soy meal trade will likely reach a record 58.4 million tons, up 2.6% on year, the IGC said, citing rising demand in East Asia and the European Union.

Sensex rises in early trade


Date: 28.02.2012

Indian equities bounced back in early trade on Tuesday snapping earlier losses. The 30-share benchmark index, BSE Sensex opened with a gain of 99.36 points or 0.57% at 17,545.11, while the broad based NSE Nifty started with a rise of 29.30 points or 0.55%, at 5,310.50.
At 09.18 a.m., the Sensex was trading up 122.26 points or 0.70% at 17,568.01 with 29 components gaining. Meanwhile, the Nifty was trading higher by 29.30 points or 0.55% at 5,310.50 with 47 components gaining. 

Sensex Movers

I C I C I Bank contributed rise of 20.91 points in the Sensex. It was followed by Reliance Industries (20.81 points), Housing Development Finance Corporation (12.14 points), Infosys (10.82 points) and State Bank Of India (7.76 points).
However, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries contributed fall of 0.83 points in the Sensex. It was followed by I T C (0.32 points), Grasim Industries (0.46 points), ACC (0.73 points) and Maruti Suzuki India (0.78 points).

Biggest gainers in the 30-share index were Tata Power Company (2.01%), Bharat Heavy Electricals (1.87%), Hindalco Industries (1.68%), I C I C I Bank (1.65%), Tata Steel (1.62%), and Sterlite Industries (India) (1.47%).
 
On the other hand, and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (0.31%) were the biggest losers in the Sensex.

Sectors in Limelight

The Realty index was at 1,857.74, up by 31.29 points or by 1.71%. The major gainers were Godrej Properties (2.81%), Anant Raj Industries (2.38%), Housing Development and Infrastructure (2.17%), D B Realty (1.64%) and D L F (0.95%).
The Consumer Durables index was at 6,426.30, up by 105.74 points or by 1.67%. The major gainers were Titan Industries (2.22%), Bajaj Electricals (1.68%), T T K Prestige (1.2%), Gitanjali Gems (1.18%) and Rajesh Exports (0.08%).

The Metal index was at 11,635.04, up by 148.53 points or by 1.29%. The major gainers were Hindalco Industries (1.68%), JSW Steel (1.4%), Coal India (0.73%), Jindal Steel & Power (0.43%) and Hindustan Zinc (0.37%).

The Bankex index was at 11,738.39, up by 149.11 points or by 1.29%. The major gainers were Canara Bank(2.36%), Federal Bank (1.78%), Bank Of Baroda (1.74%), Bank Of India (1.26%) and H D F C Bank (0.14%).
Market Breadth
Market breadth was negative with 576 advances against 137 declines.
Value and Volume Toppers
Gujarat N R E Coke topped the value chart on the BSE with a turnover of Rs. 126.31 million. It was followed by State Bank Of India (Rs. 71.97 million), Reliance Industries (Rs. 24.29 million) and Tata Motors (Rs. 15.35 million).
The volume chart was led by Gujarat N R E Coke with trades of over 5.01 million shares. It was followed by Cals Refineries (1.35 million), Bhilwara Technical Textiles (0.33 million) and Suzlon Energy (0.26 million).

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COMMODITY RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT LEVELS FEB - 28


COMMODITY RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT LEVELS
Date : 28.02.2012
Oil prices fell to USD 108.56 a barrel Tuesday in international markets.
Benchmark crude fell by USD 1.21 to end the day at USD 108.56 a barrel in New York. Brent crude, which is used to price oil that`s imported by U.S. refineries, lost USD 1.30 to finish at USD 124.17 a barrel in London.
In other energy trading, heating oil fell by 3 cents to finish at USD 3.29 per gallon and gasoline futures lost 2 cents to end at USD 3.13 per gallon. Natural gas futures fell by 10 cents to finish at USD 2.45 per 1,000 cubic feet. www.goldennifty.com

SCHEME
R1
R2
R3
S1
S2
S3
ALUMINIUM
113.03
113.67
114.48
111.58
110.77
110.13
COPPER
422.83
424.97
428.58
417.08
413.47
411.33
CRUDE OIL
5,408.67
5,431.33
5,455.67
5,361.67
5,337.33
5,314.67
GOLD
28,835
28,930
29,032
28,638
28,536
28,441
LEAD
109.85
110.8
112.55
107.15
105.4
104.45
NATIRAL GAS
135.47
138.93
141.17
129.77
127.53
124.07
NICKEL
995.17
1,002.13
1,010.57
979.77
971.33
964.37
SILVER
58,936
59,162
59,475
58,397
58,084
57,858
ZINC
103.37
104.18
105.42
101.32
100.08
99.27

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